Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 0.333568 0.389205 0.451463 0.526339 0.614022 0.713539 0.835194
2025-01-05 0.239584 0.310357 0.398366 0.516077 0.669775 0.864183 1.129629
2025-01-12 0.191697 0.266626 0.366753 0.510787 0.713490 0.989828 1.397307
2025-01-19 0.161979 0.238682 0.347350 0.513245 0.761493 1.121405 1.686901
2025-01-26 0.146420 0.226865 0.346791 0.539636 0.844163 1.310208 2.084631
2025-02-02 0.133687 0.216621 0.346005 0.563968 0.925184 1.505550 2.519935
2025-02-09 0.121588 0.205175 0.341070 0.579901 0.993515 1.688291 2.960240
2025-02-16 0.109624 0.191998 0.331087 0.585241 1.043625 1.845897 3.379055
2025-02-23 0.098126 0.177881 0.317355 0.581600 1.076528 1.976570 3.766966
2025-03-02 0.086404 0.161713 0.297770 0.564361 1.081563 2.056336 4.069546
2025-03-09 0.080855 0.156106 0.296435 0.580581 1.151138 2.264777 4.651110
2025-03-16 0.074226 0.147543 0.288396 0.582547 1.192641 2.423420 5.154231
2025-03-23 0.069153 0.141565 0.284928 0.593832 1.255932 2.637194 5.812524
2025-03-30 0.062268 0.131078 0.271254 0.582414 1.270553 2.752815 6.277826
2025-04-06 0.056753 0.122722 0.260859 0.576419 1.295726 2.893856 6.821454
2025-04-13 0.052634 0.116826 0.254882 0.579202 1.340613 3.084245 7.509575
2025-04-20 0.051081 0.116375 0.260611 0.609084 1.451792 3.441184 8.656603
2025-04-27 0.049409 0.115436 0.265106 0.636638 1.561246 3.809279 9.891265
2025-05-04 0.047174 0.112899 0.265614 0.654683 1.649955 4.139356 11.081734
2025-05-11 0.044351 0.108609 0.261478 0.660731 1.709324 4.404304 12.142053
2025-05-18 0.041183 0.103088 0.253721 0.656608 1.741828 4.604652 13.057835
2025-05-25 0.037471 0.095764 0.240670 0.637083 1.730785 4.688398 13.657472
2025-06-01 0.036059 0.094163 0.241846 0.655454 1.825485 5.072411 15.197132